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Projection of CO2 emissions from road transport
ETC/ACC Technical Paper 2010/21

Released: 2011/02/28: See the report

Abstract:
The objective of this paper is to project the mean CO2 emissions of the European passenger cars stock in real-world conditions to 2020, assuming different scenarios towards reaching the target of 95 g/km as an average of new car registrations. To this aim, a simulation exercise divided in two steps has been implemented. First, we have simulated the expected CO2 emissions of forthcoming vehicle technologies in type-approval and real-world conditions. Second, we have simulated different penetration rates of these technologies in the European stock, based on established projections of stock growth in Europe. The study demonstrates that reaching an new registration average of 95 g/km may lead to different CO2 emissions in the real world, depending on the mix of technologies considered to meet the type-approval target.

Prepared by: Giorgos Mellios, Christos Samaras, Leonidas Ntziachristos of ETC/ACC partner Aristotle University Thessaloniki (LAT/AUTh)

Published by: ETC/ACC, February 2011, 30 pp.